|2011/07/20 11:42, Berdo:|| |
|I think the iteration is simple:
Take the existing X, improve it.
On each step, like twenty or more companies try the next ones - and sometimes, one actually gets it done and has the luck and support needed. People will move on as soon as it seems more modern, is a bit less cluttered (due to not being used as much), and having one or two more 'nice' features.
Facebook's time of the 'Oh, awesome hype' is over, even the mainstream found some negative press and I think it can only get worse than what is today. Not that it will totally bad anytime soon, but 'good and negative' is worse than the new hyped thing that comes along.
As I see it, google+ seems to have the right mix of publicity, features, and hype to become a problem.
It's not that facebook will be dead from today to tomorrow but I think the Big Time where they ruled basically alone is going to be over soon. If not google+, it'll be someone else who looked at Facebook and ripped it off and added some improvements.
It might be some day the internet-age will be in Full Power and reach a more-or-less stable level, for example as search engines seem to have or another example, as game consoles have (stable for quite a while now and when PS4 and Xbox360 II (whatever it is called) come out, they will also last for nearly a decade... but I doubt that has already come for social networks (which is bad news for Facebook).